Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5999076225958
Oméga 3 BioTech USA - Mega Omega 3 - 90 Capsules molles
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 15.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (33 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 190
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AUC5999076225958
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oméga 3 BioTech USA - Mega Omega 3 - 90 Capsules molles · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -15.4% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (791 days of history, 103 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 119.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.7K |