Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5099514400135
WATERWIPES Pack économique 4x60 lingettes
midtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-93.8%
vs same 4w last year (32 units)
Current stock
22
≈ 5.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 187
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AUC5099514400135
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
WATERWIPES Pack économique 4x60 lingettes · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 22 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (980 days of history, 162 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 33.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 125.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.5K |