Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5099514400128
WaterWipes Lingettes Pures – Lot de 4 + 1 Gratuit – 300 Lingettes
midtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 76.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 207
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-09
AUC5099514400128
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 193 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
WaterWipes Lingettes Pures – Lot de 4 + 1 Gratuit – 300 Lingettes · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -76.9% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (721 days of history, 183 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 193.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 40.0K |