Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5060565103559
Gel de nettoyage du visage Revox 180ml Buzz - Tous types de peau - Fatigué - Cruelty Free
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-73.1%
vs same 4w last year (26 units)
Current stock
20
≈ 5.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 58
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AUC5060565103559
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gel de nettoyage du visage Revox 180ml Buzz - Tous types de peau - Fatigué - Cruelty Free · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, stable demand · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1036 days of history, 148 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 109.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |