Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5060565101395
Revox 30ml Seulement 2% Acide Salicylique, Sérum Pour Le Visage
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 17.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
65
≈ 15.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AUC5060565101395
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 127 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Revox 30ml Seulement 2% Acide Salicylique, Sérum Pour Le Visage · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +17.6% · on-hand 65 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1169 days of history, 171 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 49.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 127.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.4K |