Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC4887605048769
Épilateur électrique 2-en-1 - Rechargeable - Indolore - Pour femme
midtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-10.0%
vs same 4w last year (20 units)
Current stock
871
≈ 279.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 39
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AUC4887605048769
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 149 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Épilateur électrique 2-en-1 - Rechargeable - Indolore - Pour femme · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 871 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (924 days of history, 322 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 53.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 50.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |