Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC4770282752367
Bigoudi Pro 4 en 1 One Step pour cheveux, sèche-cheveux, peigne à Air chaud, lisseur, générateur d'ions Rose Red LES USA -WILM3836
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,011
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 92
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-30
AUC4770282752367
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 127 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bigoudi Pro 4 en 1 One Step pour cheveux, sèche-cheveux, peigne à Air chaud, lisseur, générateur d'ions Rose Red LES USA -WILM3836 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 1011 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (917 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 50.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.6K |