Demand Forecast

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Essence Fard à Paupières Edition Palette The Brown N°30 Gorgeous Browns 10g
SKU · AUC4059729271136

Essence Fard à Paupières Edition Palette The Brown N°30 Gorgeous Browns 10g

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▲ 125.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-16

AUC4059729271136

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Essence Fard à Paupières Edition Palette The Brown N°30 Gorgeous Browns 10g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +125.0% · on-hand 6 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1183 days of history, 60 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.9 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months19.8 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		9.3 units
Optimistic — next week6.1 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)25.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.6K