Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Neutrogena - Formule Norvégienne Crème Mains Concentrée L'Originale - 50ml
SKU · AUC4012273123009

Neutrogena - Formule Norvégienne Crème Mains Concentrée L'Originale - 50ml

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-63.6%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)

Current stock

51
≈ 37.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 18
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

AUC4012273123009

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Neutrogena - Formule Norvégienne Crème Mains Concentrée L'Originale - 50ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 51 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1050 days of history, 79 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months16.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)16.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)61.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.1K