Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC4005800238963
Fluide Solaire - Eucerin - SPF50+ - 50ml - Protection UVA/UVB - Anti-taches brunes
hero
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▼ 21.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19,203
Σ Stock across 13 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 156
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AUC4005800238963
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 358 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fluide Solaire - Eucerin - SPF50+ - 50ml - Protection UVA/UVB - Anti-taches brunes · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending down -21.2% · on-hand 22311 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1190 days of history, 347 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.39 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 33 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 12.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 50.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 180.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 81.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 357.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 55.8K |