Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC4005800238963
Fluide Solaire - Eucerin - SPF50+ - 50ml - Protection UVA/UVB - Anti-taches brunes
hero
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▼ 69.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6,165
Σ Stock across 17 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 147
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AUC4005800238963
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fluide Solaire - Eucerin - SPF50+ - 50ml - Protection UVA/UVB - Anti-taches brunes · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending down -69.6% · on-hand 8714 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1246 days of history, 351 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.38 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 56 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 17.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 50.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 12.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 21.2K |