Demand Forecast

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Baume réparateur cutané - EUCERIN - Aquaphor - 40g - Sans conservateur - Peaux sèches et irritées
SKU · AUC4005800019876

Baume réparateur cutané - EUCERIN - Aquaphor - 40g - Sans conservateur - Peaux sèches et irritées

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

323
≈ 508.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 91
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-17

AUC4005800019876

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Baume réparateur cutané - EUCERIN - Aquaphor - 40g - Sans conservateur - Peaux sèches et irritées · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 323 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (973 days of history, 53 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months24.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)20.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)63.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.8K