Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3755693865616
Air Fryer Feuilles de Papier 100 Pièces,Papier Cuisson Air Fryer Paper Liner,Prédécoupé en Forme de Bol Rond Papier Sulfurisé 47
longtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 116.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AUC3755693865616
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Air Fryer Feuilles de Papier 100 Pièces,Papier Cuisson Air Fryer Paper Liner,Prédécoupé en Forme de Bol Rond Papier Sulfurisé 47 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +116.7% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (819 days of history, 47 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.5K |