Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3700216205899
Oméga 3 Marins GPH – Équilibre Cardiaque & Cerveau – 100 Capsules
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▼ 31.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1900.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
103
≈ 50.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 143
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AUC3700216205899
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oméga 3 Marins GPH – Équilibre Cardiaque & Cerveau – 100 Capsules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending down -31.0% · on-hand 103 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (952 days of history, 264 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 56.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.5K |