Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3664944362005
Planche à découper en verre effet ardoise - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
7
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
11
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
3
≈ 4.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 75
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AUC3664944362005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 48 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Planche à découper en verre effet ardoise - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 47.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |