Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York Lifter Gloss Gloss à Lèvres N°04 Silk 5,4ml
SKU · AUC3600531609726

Maybelline New York Lifter Gloss Gloss à Lèvres N°04 Silk 5,4ml

midtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 84
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AUC3600531609726

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 194 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York Lifter Gloss Gloss à Lèvres N°04 Silk 5,4ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (1057 days of history, 91 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months33.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)42.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)194.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 16.3K