Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3600524076702
Déodorant Bille - L'Oréal Paris - Men Expert - Barber Club - Protection 48h - 50ml
longtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
55
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 3.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AUC3600524076702
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 141 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Déodorant Bille - L'Oréal Paris - Men Expert - Barber Club - Protection 48h - 50ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +20.0% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 110 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 140.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |