Demand Forecast

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Huile lavante - ROGÉ CAVAILLES - RC DERMO U.H.T - 500ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux sèches et atopiques
SKU · AUC3596490004910

Huile lavante - ROGÉ CAVAILLES - RC DERMO U.H.T - 500ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux sèches et atopiques

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)

Current stock

103
≈ 207.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 133
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AUC3596490004910

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Huile lavante - ROGÉ CAVAILLES - RC DERMO U.H.T - 500ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux sèches et atopiques · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 103 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1134 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months21.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)21.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)64.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.5K