Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3337875784054
Gel Moussant Anti-Imperfections CeraVe - 236ml - Peaux à Tendance Acnéique - Acide Salicylique - Argile Blanche
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 30.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
218
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 107
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AUC3337875784054
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 341 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gel Moussant Anti-Imperfections CeraVe - 236ml - Peaux à Tendance Acnéique - Acide Salicylique - Argile Blanche · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +30.0% · on-hand 132 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1253 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 28.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 149.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 59.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 341.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 36.6K |