Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3337875597227
Cerave+Crème hydratante pour peaux sèches et très sèches 340 ml de crème
midtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
339
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
30
≈ 5.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 121
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AUC3337875597227
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 146 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cerave+Crème hydratante pour peaux sèches et très sèches 340 ml de crème · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, stable demand · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1162 days of history, 383 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 23.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 79.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 145.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.6K |