Demand Forecast

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Pilulier Personnel,Bouteille d'eau à pilulier - Bouteille d'eau avec pilulier hebdomadaire, Compartiment pour pilulier 7 Jours[1111]
SKU · AUC3322826470018

Pilulier Personnel,Bouteille d'eau à pilulier - Bouteille d'eau avec pilulier hebdomadaire, Compartiment pour pilulier 7 Jours[1111]

longtail 3P MATERIEL PARAMEDICAL
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

48
≈ 17.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

AUC3322826470018

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 238 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pilulier Personnel,Bouteille d'eau à pilulier - Bouteille d'eau avec pilulier hebdomadaire, Compartiment pour pilulier 7 Jours[1111] · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 48 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 167 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 3.29 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks5.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months34.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)47.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)238.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.0K