Demand Forecast

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Fluide solaire SPF50+ AVÈNE - Texture légère et fini sec - 50ml
SKU · AUC3282770149074

Fluide solaire SPF50+ AVÈNE - Texture légère et fini sec - 50ml

longtail 3P SOLAIRES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-55.6%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)

Current stock

2,967
≈ 3566.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 160
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26

AUC3282770149074

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Fluide solaire SPF50+ AVÈNE - Texture légère et fini sec - 50ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 2967 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (868 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)17.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)54.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.7K