Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3094865240753
Verre à Eau avec Couvercle et Paille, Mug en Verre Hermétique et étanche, pot Tasse à thé à Bulle avec Manchon Isotherme, A831
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
22
▲ 175.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
39
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 21
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AUC3094865240753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verre à Eau avec Couvercle et Paille, Mug en Verre Hermétique et étanche, pot Tasse à thé à Bulle avec Manchon Isotherme, A831 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending up +175.0% · on-hand 39 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (574 days of history, 55 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 64.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |