Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3094865240753
Verre à Eau avec Couvercle et Paille, Mug en Verre Hermétique et étanche, pot Tasse à thé à Bulle avec Manchon Isotherme, A831
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
77
▲ 541.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
264
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AUC3094865240753
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 195 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verre à Eau avec Couvercle et Paille, Mug en Verre Hermétique et étanche, pot Tasse à thé à Bulle avec Manchon Isotherme, A831 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 77 units, trending up +541.7% · on-hand 267 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (616 days of history, 132 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.92 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 77 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 32.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 85.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 63.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 194.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |