Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3094821554986
Bouteille d'eau Portable pour pilulier hebdomadaire Pilulier Quotidien 2 en 1 avec gobelet à Eau - Bouteille de pilulier A569
longtail
3P
MATERIEL PARAMEDICAL
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
15
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-09
AUC3094821554986
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille d'eau Portable pour pilulier hebdomadaire Pilulier Quotidien 2 en 1 avec gobelet à Eau - Bouteille de pilulier A569 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (476 days of history, 195 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.73 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 54.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |