Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3094821554986
Bouteille d'eau Portable pour pilulier hebdomadaire Pilulier Quotidien 2 en 1 avec gobelet à Eau - Bouteille de pilulier A569
midtail
3P
MATERIEL PARAMEDICAL
Last 4 weeks demand
7
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+600.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
20
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AUC3094821554986
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 215 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille d'eau Portable pour pilulier hebdomadaire Pilulier Quotidien 2 en 1 avec gobelet à Eau - Bouteille de pilulier A569 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, stable demand · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (441 days of history, 191 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.57 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 214.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.9K |