Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC3045380017412
Friteuse à air chaud - Tefal - EY701D - 170 W - Capacité 1,6 kg - Minuterie 8 Menus
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 23.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 915
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AUC3045380017412
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 102 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse à air chaud - Tefal - EY701D - 170 W - Capacité 1,6 kg - Minuterie 8 Menus · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -23.1% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1169 days of history, 78 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 101.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 93.2K |