Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1736640620571
Pompe à air manuelle - Bestway - Air Step 1600 ML - Bleu - Débit d'air maximal - Compacte
longtail
1P + 3P
FITNESS - MUSCULATION
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
94
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
51
≈ 86.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 39
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AUC1736640620571
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pompe à air manuelle - Bestway - Air Step 1600 ML - Bleu - Débit d'air maximal - Compacte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 51 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (455 days of history, 32 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 42.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 79.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |