Demand Forecast

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Déodorant Anti-Transpirant - Secret - Invisible - Douche Solide - 73 g - Sans alcool
SKU · AUC1722184177527

Déodorant Anti-Transpirant - Secret - Invisible - Douche Solide - 73 g - Sans alcool

longtail 1P + 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

85
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

5
≈ 3.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-13

AUC1722184177527

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Déodorant Anti-Transpirant - Secret - Invisible - Douche Solide - 73 g - Sans alcool · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (322 days of history, 65 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week2.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks10.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months34.0 units
Optimistic — next week4.3 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)17.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.0K