Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1718109461141
Chaise Scandinave - Pieds en Métal "Gustav" 87cm - Noir
midtail
1P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 185.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
82
≈ 24.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 235
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AUC1718109461141
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise Scandinave - Pieds en Métal "Gustav" 87cm - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +185.7% · on-hand 82 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (189 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 41.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 125.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.3K |