Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1718109461141
Chaise Scandinave - Pieds en Métal "Gustav" 87cm - Noir
midtail
1P + 3P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 79.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
92
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
49
≈ 11.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 190
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-19
AUC1718109461141
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 162 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise Scandinave - Pieds en Métal "Gustav" 87cm - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -79.5% · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 39 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 28.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 83.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.8K |