Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1718109417118
Chaise "Gustav" 87cm - Blanc
longtail
1P + 3P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 1900.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
117
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
83
≈ 54.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 212
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AUC1718109417118
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise "Gustav" 87cm - Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +1900.0% · on-hand 85 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.0K |