Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York Lifter Plump 005 Peach Fever 5,4ml
SKU · AUC1707528900676

Maybelline New York Lifter Plump 005 Peach Fever 5,4ml

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-85.7%
vs same 4w last year (7 units)

Current stock

7
≈ 3.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 72
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-18

AUC1707528900676

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 107 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York Lifter Plump 005 Peach Fever 5,4ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 7 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (798 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months24.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)107.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.9
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 7.7K