Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1084109839050
Bouilloire électrique - KRÖHLER - PEBT-802 - 1,5L - 2200W - Socle 360° - Anti-calcaire
hero
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▼ 39.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-58.0%
vs same 4w last year (69 units)
Current stock
46
≈ 3.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 91
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AUC1084109839050
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 307 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire électrique - KRÖHLER - PEBT-802 - 1,5L - 2200W - Socle 360° - Anti-calcaire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending down -39.6% · on-hand 46 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1141 days of history, 1,434 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 48 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 12.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 48.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 115.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 22.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 100.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 306.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.9K |