Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC1084109839050
Bouilloire électrique - KRÖHLER - PEBT-802 - 1,5L - 2200W - Socle 360° - Anti-calcaire
hero
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 86.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
50
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-23
AUC1084109839050
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 338 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire électrique - KRÖHLER - PEBT-802 - 1,5L - 2200W - Socle 360° - Anti-calcaire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -86.8% · on-hand 53 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1183 days of history, 1,399 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 30.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 155.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 65.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 337.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.8K |