Demand Forecast

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Vaporisateur de parfum rechargeable,technologie de remplis sans entonnoir,flacon pulvérisateur de parfum vide pour voyage,sac[56]
SKU · AUC0773107883707

Vaporisateur de parfum rechargeable,technologie de remplis sans entonnoir,flacon pulvérisateur de parfum vide pour voyage,sac[56]

longtail 3P CONTENANT VIDE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

1
Σ Stock across 3 live offers

1P stock

0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot

Unit price

MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AUC0773107883707

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 47 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Vaporisateur de parfum rechargeable,technologie de remplis sans entonnoir,flacon pulvérisateur de parfum vide pour voyage,sac[56] · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (833 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months13.8 units
Optimistic — next week3.3 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)46.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 615