Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC0711719870258
DualShock 4 V2 Noir
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES JEUX VIDEO - ACCESSOIRES CONSOLE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
103
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 141
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AUC0711719870258
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DualShock 4 V2 Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 103 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (959 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.6K |