Demand Forecast

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Secret Original Poudre Parfum Frais – Déodorant Solide PH Équilibré Invisible Women 2.6 oz
SKU · AUC0037000123439

Secret Original Poudre Parfum Frais – Déodorant Solide PH Équilibré Invisible Women 2.6 oz

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AUC0037000123439

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Secret Original Poudre Parfum Frais – Déodorant Solide PH Équilibré Invisible Women 2.6 oz · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months21.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.9K