Demand Forecast

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Fond de teint Infaillible 24H 2 en 1 - L'OREAL PARIS - 331 Café au lait - Fini mat couvrant
SKU · AUC0000030173415

Fond de teint Infaillible 24H 2 en 1 - L'OREAL PARIS - 331 Café au lait - Fini mat couvrant

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-83.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

6
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 92
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01

AUC0000030173415

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Fond de teint Infaillible 24H 2 en 1 - L'OREAL PARIS - 331 Café au lait - Fini mat couvrant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 6 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (973 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)52.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.8K