Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York Cils Mascara Sensational Sky High Cosmic Black 7,2ml
SKU · AUC0000030152830

Maybelline New York Cils Mascara Sensational Sky High Cosmic Black 7,2ml

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 71.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-84.6%
vs same 4w last year (13 units)

Current stock

2
≈ 0.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 101
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AUC0000030152830

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York Cils Mascara Sensational Sky High Cosmic Black 7,2ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -71.4% · on-hand 2 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (833 days of history, 88 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months31.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)114.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.5K