Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ATL8436532860126
Réfrigérateur - Atlantic - 18L - Portable - 18 Litres - Couleur Bleu
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
187
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
111
≈ 71.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
ATL8436532860126
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Réfrigérateur - Atlantic - 18L - Portable - 18 Litres - Couleur Bleu · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +60.0% · on-hand 111 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (896 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.5K |