Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ATL8436532860126
Réfrigérateur - Atlantic - 18L - Portable - 18 Litres - Couleur Bleu
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
12
≈ 16.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 107
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
ATL8436532860126
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 155 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Réfrigérateur - Atlantic - 18L - Portable - 18 Litres - Couleur Bleu · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -8.3% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (938 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 154.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.6K |