Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ATL6111242562073
CHAISE PLIABLE MARBELLA BLANCHE
midtail
3P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
38
▲ 90.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-30.9%
vs same 4w last year (55 units)
Current stock
825
≈ 198.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 78
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
ATL6111242562073
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 310 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHAISE PLIABLE MARBELLA BLANCHE · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 38 units, trending up +90.0% · on-hand 825 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1113 days of history, 150 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 38 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 26.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 79.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 85.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 309.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.3K |