Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ALP8414234545138
Déshumidificateur Taurus Alpatec Pleasant de 210W, 2 vitesses, réservoir 12L/24h, pour surface max 25 m², minuterie
longtail
3P
TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 600.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 1.5K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
ALP8414234545138
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Déshumidificateur Taurus Alpatec Pleasant de 210W, 2 vitesses, réservoir 12L/24h, pour surface max 25 m², minuterie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +600.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.48 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 11.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 105.4K |