Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ACM3760095254272
acm depiwhite mousse nettoyante eclaircissante 200ml
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
77
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 232
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-18
ACM3760095254272
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 35 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
acm depiwhite mousse nettoyante eclaircissante 200ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1036 days of history, 10 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.33 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 35.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.2K |