Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC58F9952010110129
Samsung Chargeur 25W ultra rapide charge
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AC58F9952010110129
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 169 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Samsung Chargeur 25W ultra rapide charge · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 22 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.43 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 27.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 84.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 169.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.0K |