Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC5715002061209992
XIAOMI Chargeur MI 120W Original – Recharge Ultra Rapide et Sécurisée
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
32
▲ 190.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 96
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
AC5715002061209992
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 166 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI Chargeur MI 120W Original – Recharge Ultra Rapide et Sécurisée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 32 units, trending up +190.9% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (168 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 32 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 29.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 84.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 166.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.9K |