Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC4FB0702261113535
Pack Repousse Intense – Derma Stamp en titane + Brosse Cuir Chevelu Couleur au choix
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 90.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
187
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 164
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AC4FB0702261113535
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 56 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Repousse Intense – Derma Stamp en titane + Brosse Cuir Chevelu Couleur au choix · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -90.9% · on-hand 188 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (98 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.2K |