Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC4FB0111171119450
Derma Stamp en titane réglable jusqu’à 3 mm – Repousse des cheveux et régénération de la peau
midtail
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 70.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
100
≈ 17.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 148
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AC4FB0111171119450
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 140 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Derma Stamp en titane réglable jusqu’à 3 mm – Repousse des cheveux et régénération de la peau · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -70.0% · on-hand 100 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 53.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 140.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.8K |