Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC4EC7411110315511
Collagène Marin Avancé avec Acide Hyaluronic 120 Gélules Origine Angleterre UK boîte pour 4 mois
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 269
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AC4EC7411110315511
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Collagène Marin Avancé avec Acide Hyaluronic 120 Gélules Origine Angleterre UK boîte pour 4 mois · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -25.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (210 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.8K |