Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC4950011120615301
Traceur GPS pour Auto, Moto et Bateau, ST-901
longtail
3P
GPS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
486
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 430
avg of last 23 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AC4950011120615301
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Traceur GPS pour Auto, Moto et Bateau, ST-901 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 486 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 31.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.6K |