Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC28F9911180847194
Chardon-Marie 350 mg – Complément Alimentaire Soutien du Foie
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
915
≈ 334.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AC28F9911180847194
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chardon-Marie 350 mg – Complément Alimentaire Soutien du Foie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 915 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 44.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 56.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 163.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.3K |