Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC28F9211240742607
Pack Soin Complet : Gel Lavant Hydratant 200 ml + Crème Dépigmentante 50 ml + Crème Solaire Invisible SPF 50 – Routine Quotidienne
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
7
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 123
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-30
AC28F9211240742607
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 324 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Soin Complet : Gel Lavant Hydratant 200 ml + Crème Dépigmentante 50 ml + Crème Solaire Invisible SPF 50 – Routine Quotidienne · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +75.0% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (196 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 22.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 68.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 100.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 324.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 39.8K |