Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC28F8511170604564
Ashwagandha - Stress, Sommeil, Énergie, Bien-Être - Qualité 100% Pure - (Ginseng indien) - Antioxydant naturel - 60 Gélules 360mg
hero
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
72
▲ 63.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
813
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AC28F8511170604564
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 470 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ashwagandha - Stress, Sommeil, Énergie, Bien-Être - Qualité 100% Pure - (Ginseng indien) - Antioxydant naturel - 60 Gélules 360mg · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 72 units, trending up +63.6% · on-hand 821 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (315 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 72 units · prev 4w = 44 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 147.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 31.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 104.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 469.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.4K |