Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC1642211071010614
Écouteurs sans fil Q3 Pro -Noir- stéréo basses - Bluetooth 6.0 - Autonomie 42h - Suppression du bruit des appels ANC - 38 dB/ IP55.
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 231
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AC1642211071010614
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs sans fil Q3 Pro -Noir- stéréo basses - Bluetooth 6.0 - Autonomie 42h - Suppression du bruit des appels ANC - 38 dB/ IP55. · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.80 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 110.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.6K |