Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AC00F0541106044846139
Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant - (Visage & Corps) 400 ml
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AC00F0541106044846139
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant - (Visage & Corps) 400 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.5K |